The Peak of Technology, Technological Singularity

Technology has advanced so quickly in the last 100 years. A decade ago, smartphones as we know by today’s standard didn’t exist. Two decades earlier, there’s a very few people who own a computer. Nowadays, it seems everyone is gazing to the glowing screen in their hands and nearly everyone has a computer or a laptop.

It feels like technologies is progressing faster than ever. In fact it is according to Ray Kurzweil, Google’s Director of Engineering. In his book The Singularity is Near, show that information technologies growing exponentially. He says these trends is a result of different technical challenges pursued by different engineer and different companies as well. Being exponentially, as it turns out, is all about evolution.

Technological Singularity

The technological singularity, simply, the singularity is a hypothetical point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. New and more intellingence generation of technologies will keep appearing more and more rapidly, causing an “explosion” in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintellingence machines that far surpasses human intellingence. Is it good thing? or a bad one? Should we fear or not to fear? Let’s analyze it with VUCA.

What is VUCA?

VUCA is an acronym to describe or to reflect on the volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity of general conditions and situations. The U.S. Army War College introduced the concept of VUCA to describe more volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous multilateral world perceived as resulting from the end of Cold War. (Wikipedia)

Volatility

Technologies has progress tremendously fast for the last decade. Today’s technology will even growing more faster than ever resulting in appearing new and more intellingence machines and will surpasses human. By then, it has receive it’s peak, Singularity.

Uncertainty

We have no idea and can’t predict the limit of technology as it will keep improving exponentially.

Complexity

If technology has advanded so much further, it will take over human job in various field. It can dominates every aspect of human life.

Ambiguity

As long as the technology still developing, it can even understand human nature as well. If it feels humanity was a threat, it will immediately eliminate human. But if it doesn’t feels threaten, it will help human to the greater heights.

How do we face it?

Indeed, it will affect everything but it is not something to fear. The singularity is an opportunity for humankind to improve. The same technology that will make AIs more intelligent giving humans a boost as well. We just have to learn something that can be replace by the technology.

“There’s one thing that only human can do; that’s dream. So let’s us dream big.” -Garry Kasparov

#TantanganMasaDepan #DuniaVUCA #OSKMITB2020 #TerangKembali

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Alvito Rizqi

Alvito Rizqi

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